Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.195894 0.224473 0.256519 0.295253 0.340989 0.393497 0.458663
2025-11-23 0.148580 0.185269 0.230711 0.291731 0.372442 0.476830 0.624173
2025-11-30 0.125349 0.166142 0.220482 0.299460 0.413501 0.575671 0.830145
2025-12-07 0.106040 0.147175 0.205098 0.294626 0.433236 0.646145 1.011181
2025-12-14 0.093612 0.135092 0.196332 0.296181 0.460584 0.731276 1.234908
2025-12-21 0.083595 0.124724 0.187973 0.296020 0.483902 0.813276 1.474109
2025-12-28 0.077061 0.118584 0.184917 0.303340 0.520338 0.924752 1.799470
2026-01-04 0.071061 0.112391 0.180696 0.307598 0.551553 1.032820 2.150753
2026-01-11 0.065996 0.107037 0.177022 0.311963 0.583377 1.148788 2.556959
2026-01-18 0.062226 0.103381 0.175714 0.320315 0.624415 1.293373 3.082081
2026-01-25 0.057959 0.098339 0.171212 0.321634 0.650860 1.411807 3.584758
2026-02-01 0.054094 0.093582 0.166622 0.321979 0.675103 1.530925 4.136816
2026-02-08 0.050237 0.088524 0.161016 0.319704 0.693843 1.643726 4.727269
2026-02-15 0.046491 0.083316 0.154555 0.314713 0.705461 1.742141 5.321559
2026-02-22 0.044482 0.081242 0.154104 0.322958 0.751465 1.948108 6.393601
2026-03-01 0.041396 0.076738 0.148141 0.317646 0.761571 2.053825 7.153379
2026-03-08 0.039233 0.073881 0.145321 0.319338 0.790847 2.227068 8.288205
2026-03-15 0.037114 0.070916 0.141939 0.319160 0.815007 2.392161 9.496694
2026-03-22 0.035804 0.069515 0.141830 0.327154 0.864606 2.659875 11.378725
2026-03-29 0.034346 0.067661 0.140497 0.331805 0.905426 2.911927 13.387036
2026-04-05 0.033004 0.065936 0.139274 0.336574 0.947903 3.186808 15.765785
2026-04-12 0.032028 0.064929 0.139622 0.345702 1.006877 3.550888 19.043824
2026-04-19 0.030654 0.062912 0.137341 0.347143 1.040633 3.825591 22.038869